The WNBA's Phoenix Mercury and Las Vegas Aces will face off for the third time this season on Saturday, July 11, 2026. The Mercury, currently sitting at 8-15, are struggling, having lost seven of their last 11 games. Their star player, Kahleah Copper, averages 20.8 points per game, but the team's overall performance has been inconsistent. The Mercury's defense is also a concern, as they allow 85.7 points per game, ranking 8th in the league. On the other hand, the Aces, led by four-time MVP A'ja Wilson, are a force to be reckoned with. They have a 16-6 record and have won 12 of their last 16 games. The Aces' offense is one of the best in the league, ranking third in points per game and first in field-goal percentage. However, the Mercury have a history of competing against the Aces, winning their first matchup 99-66, and nearly pulling off an upset in the second game, losing by just 10 points. The key to this game lies in the Aces' ability to defend A'ja Wilson, who has been a dominant force in the paint. If the Mercury can't find a way to contain her, the Aces' high-powered offense will likely take over. The Aces are favored to win, with a spread of 8.5 points, and are expected to cover the spread in a comfortable victory. The Mercury will need to step up their game if they want to avoid another loss, but with the talent gap between the two teams, it might be a challenging task. The Aces' momentum and strong performance make them the better bet in this matchup.